As 2025 winds down, attention is turning to whether Dogecoin can stage a late-year recovery — and one on-chain analyst, BitGuru, is mapping out a plausible path for the meme coin.
Why a rebound could be possible
BitGuru’s chart work points to a clear reason for optimism: Dogecoin found support after the recent crash and has been holding above roughly $0.13. That price area is acting as a demand zone, and the analyst argues the market is forming a base after a prolonged downtrend — a pattern that often precedes renewed buying interest and a potential rally.
What the targets look like
If bulls can keep Dogecoin above this support, BitGuru projects a meaningful bounce. His outline suggests a recovery of roughly 50%, putting an initial target near $0.188 and a higher resistance zone around $0.22. Those levels would represent a healthy move from the current demand band but would also likely meet selling pressure if reached.
Mixed seasonality and the heavy losses so far
Historically the final quarter of the year has sometimes been bullish for Dogecoin, but 2025 has been an exception. According to CryptoRank data cited by the analyst, Q4 is currently down about 41.8%. December has contributed to that slump — Dogecoin is down more than 7.5% so far this month — following steep losses in October (about 20%) and November (about 21.3%). If that trend continues, any upside could be capped or short-lived.
Bottom line
BitGuru’s scenario hinges on the $0.13 demand zone holding: maintain that floor and a 50%+ rally to roughly $0.188–$0.22 becomes plausible; lose it and downside risks grow. As always, this is an analyst’s technical read rather than investment advice, and traders should weigh broader market conditions and risk management before positioning.
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