The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year, and each decision ripples across financial markets — including Bitcoin. Markets watch the post-meeting announcement and the Fed Chair’s subsequent remarks for clues about rate policy, liquidity and risk appetite.
The next FOMC gathering is set for June 16–17. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to speak after the meeting and outline the committee’s decision. At the previous meeting on April 28–29, the Fed held the federal funds rate steady.
Right now the fed funds target sits at 3.50–3.75%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool, which aggregates market-implied odds, shows overwhelming probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at this meeting — roughly 99.4% — with only a sliver of probability left for a rate hike to 3.75–4.00% and effectively no chance priced in for a cut to 3.25–3.50%.
Why this matters to crypto: Bitcoin’s price has historically reacted to changes in Fed policy because interest rates influence investor behavior and liquidity. If the Fed holds rates steady, Bitcoin is likely to keep tracking its existing momentum — no major policy-driven shift in risk-taking is implied. A hike, however, tends to be bearish: higher rates make yield-bearing assets relatively more attractive, reduce liquidity, and can prompt risk-off selling that pressures crypto prices. Conversely, a rate cut is typically the most bullish scenario for Bitcoin, as lower yields encourage flows into risk assets and can boost demand for digital assets.
Traders and investors will be watching Powell’s post-meeting comments for tone and any signal about future moves — that forward guidance could be as market-moving for Bitcoin as the rate decision itself.
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